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Red82
348232.0
549916.5
801642.0
Blue143
940024.2
167891.3
415945.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10018805015025030035082143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+57
Endgame+65
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
19Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +52
11Coral scored#22
41Coral points79
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
51Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#9
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
6Foul points2
82Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.9
31.529.6
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
blue by 49.3
91.31.2
86.585.3
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
3482
#21
32.01.9
45.243.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
blue by 13.9
4159
#20
45.91.2
39.738.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Third
5499
#32
16.51.9
24.722.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
blue by 7.7
9400
#35
24.21.2
30.229.0
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned