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Red87
570027.9
425517.4
167146.7
Blue123
304569.7
76634.3
25327.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9015205020025087123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points11
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +43
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
46Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
87Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#16
46.70.3
48.147.8
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
blue by 23.0
69.70.8
74.173.3
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
Second
5700
#38
27.90.3
24.324.0
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
blue by 6.4
766
#30
34.30.8
41.640.8
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
Third
4255
#39
17.40.3
16.916.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
blue by 10.2
253
#25
27.50.8
19.118.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned