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Red68
196735.1
70120.6
318924.5
Blue56
359834.0
464312.7
876827.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97964060801201406856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
8Coral scored#5
29Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
53Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
68Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#26
35.11.4
38.036.6
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
red by 1.1
3598
#17
34.02.1
38.736.6
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Second
3189
#24
24.51.4
24.823.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
blue by 3.2
8768
#29
27.72.1
32.130.0
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
Third
701
#22
20.61.4
26.224.8
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
red by 8.0
4643
#31
12.72.1
17.315.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed