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Red169
264337.4
84170.5
11440.8
Blue105
741931.0
107257.1
947036.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14413780100120160180169105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +55
23Coral scored#9
81Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
105Total teleop50
Reef
12L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
18Foul points2
169Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
70.51.4
62.864.2
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
red by 13.4
1072
#12
57.11.9
57.455.4
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
Second
114
#7
40.81.4
38.940.3
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 4.8
9470
#10
36.01.9
38.936.9
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Third
2643
#15
37.41.4
28.329.7
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
red by 6.4
7419
#28
31.01.9
35.934.0
Auto7.5
Teleop23.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned