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Red154
1127446.2
469844.8
527430.3
Blue232
581754.5
207357.5
594079.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66235050100150200300350154232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+106
Endgame+96
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
6Coral scored#11
31Coral points55
40Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +88
11Coral scored#31
38Coral points112
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
70Total teleop158
Reef
7L4#17
5L3#10
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#6
24Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
18Foul points0
154Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.25.2
23.328.5
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 33.1
79.21.9
82.183.9
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
Second
44.83.1
25.929.0
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
blue by 12.7
57.51.9
57.158.9
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
Third
5274
#23
30.33.1
28.731.8
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
blue by 24.2
5817
#19
54.51.9
53.855.7
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned