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Red139
911417.1
605921.9
304569.7
Blue189
325642.8
801642.0
167891.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109190050150250300350139189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+50
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
18Coral scored#26
64Coral points93
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
18Processor points24
16Net points28
34Algae points52
98Total teleop145
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#11
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
139Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.71.0
73.374.3
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
blue by 21.6
91.30.9
85.386.2
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
6059
#34
21.91.0
14.815.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 20.8
3256
#27
42.80.9
49.750.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
9114
#37
17.11.0
22.323.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
blue by 24.8
42.00.9
29.630.5
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned