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Qual 242025 Capital City Classic
Red56
325642.8
425517.4
911417.1
Blue104
549916.5
1127446.2
196735.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009805015020056104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+34
Endgame+38
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +23
3Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
3Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
45Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
8Foul points18
56Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#27
42.82.8
50.6→47.7
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 3.4
11274
#18
46.20.2
28.5→28.3
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
4255
#39
17.42.8
16.6→13.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
blue by 17.8
1967
#26
35.10.1
36.6→36.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Third
9114
#37
17.12.8
23.3→20.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
red by 0.7
5499
#32
16.50.1
22.8→22.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed