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Red125
84669.7
76634.3
359834.0
Blue82
264337.4
605921.9
527430.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1647105010015020025012582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+21Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
64Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
125Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#6
69.71.1
64.363.2
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
red by 32.3
2643
#15
37.40.3
29.730.0
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
Second
766
#30
34.31.1
40.839.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
red by 4.0
5274
#23
30.30.3
31.832.1
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Third
3598
#17
34.01.1
36.635.5
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
red by 12.1
6059
#34
21.90.3
15.816.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed