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Red132
213561.7
801642.0
70120.6
Blue156
84170.5
207357.5
25327.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113160050200250300132156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +15
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points52
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
12Processor points24
8Net points20
20Algae points44
81Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
132Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#13
61.70.7
59.660.3
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
blue by 8.8
841
#4
70.50.0
64.964.9
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
Second
42.00.7
30.531.2
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
blue by 15.5
57.50.0
60.360.3
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
Third
701
#22
20.60.7
22.823.5
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
blue by 6.9
253
#25
27.50.0
19.219.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned