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Red122
876827.7
264337.4
570027.9
Blue178
605921.9
425517.4
167891.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84144050100200250300122178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points77
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
92Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#14
4L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
12Foul points6
122Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#15
37.41.1
30.031.1
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
blue by 53.9
91.33.0
86.289.2
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
Second
5700
#38
27.91.1
25.226.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
red by 6.0
6059
#34
21.93.0
16.119.1
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Third
8768
#29
27.71.1
26.727.8
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
red by 10.3
4255
#39
17.43.0
13.816.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned