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Red47
76634.3
325642.8
70120.6
Blue78
681427.7
940024.2
11440.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810960801001201404778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +9
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points8
47Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#27
42.84.0
45.641.6
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 2.0
114
#7
40.81.9
42.440.5
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Second
766
#30
34.34.0
35.431.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
red by 6.6
6814
#14
27.71.9
32.130.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
Third
701
#22
20.64.0
23.519.5
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
blue by 3.6
9400
#35
24.21.9
24.222.3
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed