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Red106
213561.7
605921.9
549916.5
Blue180
741931.0
304569.7
167146.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99176050150200250106180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+62
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +55
13Coral scored#23
48Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
72Total teleop127
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#9
3L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
2Foul points2
106Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#13
61.70.3
60.360.6
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
blue by 8.0
69.71.7
75.376.9
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
Second
6059
#34
21.90.3
19.119.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 24.7
1671
#16
46.71.7
43.645.3
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Third
5499
#32
16.50.3
20.520.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
blue by 14.6
7419
#28
31.01.7
34.235.8
Auto7.5
Teleop23.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned