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Red117
25327.5
1127446.2
415945.9
Blue159
84669.7
264337.4
469844.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100153050200250300350117159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+22
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
81Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
117Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.5
35.938.4
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 23.5
846
#6
69.71.9
67.869.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Second
4159
#20
45.91.5
39.040.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
red by 1.1
44.81.9
31.533.4
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
Third
253
#25
27.51.5
19.320.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
blue by 9.9
2643
#15
37.41.9
31.133.0
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned