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Red146
107257.1
11440.8
661945.5
Blue66
196735.1
527430.3
911417.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1548805020025014666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+76Teleop
+86Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
40Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +51
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points33
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
92Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points6
146Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#12
57.10.8
55.456.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
red by 21.9
1967
#26
35.12.0
36.534.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Second
6619
#11
45.50.8
37.438.2
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
red by 15.2
5274
#23
30.32.0
31.529.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Third
114
#7
40.80.8
41.642.4
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 23.6
9114
#37
17.12.0
21.619.7
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed