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Red147
325730.1
681427.7
304569.7
Blue38
348232.0
76634.3
318924.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110405020014738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+111Teleop
+103Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
32Coral points4
41Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +83
19Coral scored#2
68Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
6Processor points0
20Net points4
26Algae points4
94Total teleop11
Reef
11L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
31Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
6Foul points0
147Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.71.0
74.375.3
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 35.4
766
#30
34.34.3
39.735.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
Second
3257
#36
30.11.0
21.322.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
blue by 2.0
3482
#21
32.04.3
39.435.1
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Third
6814
#14
27.71.0
31.132.1
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
red by 3.3
3189
#24
24.54.3
23.319.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned