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Red105
947036.0
318924.5
207357.5
Blue95
801642.0
425517.4
876827.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337305010015020025010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
31Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
56Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points6
105Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.7
60.359.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
red by 15.5
42.00.9
31.232.0
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
Second
9470
#10
36.00.7
34.133.4
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 8.3
8768
#29
27.70.9
27.828.7
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
Third
3189
#24
24.50.7
19.118.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 7.1
4255
#39
17.40.9
16.817.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed