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Red137
325730.1
581754.5
348232.0
Blue107
359834.0
570027.9
196735.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391030200300400500137107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +50
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
120Total teleop70
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
137Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#19
54.50.8
61.562.3
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
red by 19.3
1967
#26
35.10.4
34.534.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Second
3482
#21
32.00.8
35.135.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
blue by 2.0
3598
#17
34.00.4
34.835.2
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
3257
#36
30.10.8
22.223.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
red by 2.1
5700
#38
27.90.4
26.326.7
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed