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Red146
527430.3
167891.3
681427.7
Blue113
167146.7
325642.8
545826.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170112050150200250146113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points36
29Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +38
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
101Total teleop63
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
146Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.0
85.685.7
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
red by 44.6
1671
#16
46.70.3
45.345.6
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Second
5274
#23
30.30.0
29.529.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
blue by 12.5
3256
#27
42.80.3
41.641.9
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Third
6814
#14
27.70.0
30.230.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
red by 1.6
5458
#33
26.10.3
22.322.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned