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Red91
207357.5
605921.9
741931.0
Blue130
594079.2
947036.0
304569.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11322405015020025030091130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +27
9Coral scored#17
32Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
52Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#11
4L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
91Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.52.0
59.657.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
blue by 21.8
79.24.4
80.876.4
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
Second
7419
#28
31.02.0
35.833.8
Auto7.5
Teleop23.2
End0.2
blue by 38.7
69.74.4
76.972.5
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
Third
6059
#34
21.92.0
19.417.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 14.0
9470
#10
36.04.4
33.429.0
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned