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Red84
549916.5
107257.1
911417.1
Blue138
469844.8
70120.6
581754.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912905015020025084138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+72
Endgame+58
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
10Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +48
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points58
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#5
6Processor points24
8Net points20
14Algae points44
54Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#32
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
6Foul points2
84Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#12
57.11.4
52.651.3
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
red by 2.6
5817
#19
54.51.0
62.363.3
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
Second
9114
#37
17.11.4
19.718.3
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
blue by 27.7
44.81.0
33.434.4
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
Third
5499
#32
16.51.4
20.819.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
blue by 4.2
701
#22
20.61.0
19.520.5
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed