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Red97
84170.5
425517.4
76634.3
Blue110
84669.7
876827.7
348232.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214905020025030097110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
65Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#6
5L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
97Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#4
70.50.9
61.460.5
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
red by 0.8
846
#6
69.71.6
69.768.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Second
766
#30
34.30.9
31.430.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
red by 2.3
3482
#21
32.01.6
35.934.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Third
4255
#39
17.40.9
17.616.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
blue by 10.3
8768
#29
27.71.6
28.727.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned