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Red99
801642.0
1127446.2
464312.7
Blue132
325730.1
570027.9
11440.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9592608010012014099132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +47
12Coral scored#24
43Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
61Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points0
99Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.21.5
38.440.0
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 5.4
114
#7
40.82.8
40.543.2
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Second
42.00.9
32.033.0
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
red by 11.9
3257
#36
30.12.8
23.025.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Third
4643
#31
12.70.9
12.813.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 15.2
5700
#38
27.92.8
26.729.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed