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Red108
196735.1
264337.4
661945.5
Blue66
318924.5
25327.5
940024.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286105010015020010866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points5
12Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
80Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
12Foul points0
108Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#11
45.51.1
38.237.1
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
red by 18.0
253
#25
27.50.1
20.820.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0
Second
2643
#15
37.41.1
33.032.0
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
red by 12.9
3189
#24
24.50.1
18.418.5
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Third
1967
#26
35.11.1
34.933.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
red by 11.0
9400
#35
24.20.1
22.322.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed