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Red174
415945.9
304569.7
196735.1
Blue68
527430.3
70120.6
107257.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691315010015020025030017468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave6
9Coral scored#1
47Coral points6
47Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +61
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points24
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
30Processor points6
24Net points16
54Algae points22
107Total teleop46
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
6Foul points6
174Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.71.2
72.273.4
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 12.6
1072
#12
57.14.3
60.155.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
Second
4159
#20
45.91.2
40.842.0
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
red by 15.6
5274
#23
30.34.3
36.031.7
Auto5.8
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Third
1967
#26
35.11.2
37.238.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
red by 14.5
701
#22
20.64.3
29.825.5
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed