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Red137
741931.0
594079.2
469844.8
Blue116
213561.7
76634.3
570027.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178133100150200250137116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+25Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +8
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
93Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#3
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#27
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points4
137Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.21.4
84.182.7
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 17.5
2135
#13
61.71.5
57.355.8
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
Second
44.81.4
25.724.3
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
red by 10.5
766
#30
34.31.5
44.342.8
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
Third
7419
#28
31.01.4
42.140.7
Auto7.5
Teleop23.2
End0.2
red by 3.1
5700
#38
27.91.5
27.826.3
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed