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Red97
425517.4
581754.5
545826.1
Blue42
325642.8
318924.5
605921.9
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091140501502002503009742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +54
13Coral scored#3
46Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
74Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
7L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
8Foul points6
97Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#19
54.50.7
54.553.8
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
red by 11.7
3256
#27
42.84.7
53.949.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
5458
#33
26.10.7
29.028.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
red by 1.6
3189
#24
24.54.7
32.527.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Third
4255
#39
17.40.7
16.015.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.7
blue by 4.6
6059
#34
21.94.7
19.414.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed