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Red198
318924.5
84669.7
594079.2
Blue115
167146.7
11440.8
549916.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195108050150250300350198115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+53Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +53
28Coral scored#13
101Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
125Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#9
11L3#4
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#24
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
198Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.21.6
76.478.0
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 32.5
1671
#16
46.70.3
45.645.3
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Second
846
#6
69.71.6
68.169.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
red by 28.9
114
#7
40.80.3
43.242.9
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Third
3189
#24
24.51.6
18.520.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 8.0
5499
#32
16.50.3
19.419.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed