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Red104
464312.7
207357.5
348232.0
Blue91
911417.1
70120.6
264337.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206905010015020025010491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
64Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
14Foul points0
104Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.51.6
55.654.0
Auto15.8
Teleop32.8
End8.8
red by 20.1
2643
#15
37.40.6
35.636.2
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
Second
3482
#21
32.01.6
32.631.1
Auto6.9
Teleop23.0
End2.1
red by 11.4
701
#22
20.60.6
18.919.5
Auto2.5
Teleop17.0
End1.1
Third
4643
#31
12.71.6
14.112.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 4.5
9114
#37
17.10.6
15.816.5
Auto1.9
Teleop14.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed