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Red221
167891.3
359834.0
304569.7
Blue185
84170.5
1127446.2
167146.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21314950100250300350221185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+34Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
47Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
26Coral scored#23
92Coral points84
4Processor algae#5
5Net algae#5
24Processor points30
20Net points20
44Algae points50
136Total teleop134
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#10
9L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#40
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
2Foul points0
221Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.8
89.390.1
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
red by 20.8
841
#4
70.51.6
61.763.3
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
Second
69.70.8
72.973.7
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 23.0
1671
#16
46.71.6
45.346.8
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Third
3598
#17
34.00.8
30.231.0
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
blue by 12.2
46.22.3
40.442.7
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned