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Red113
213561.7
876827.7
11440.8
Blue79
581754.5
940024.2
549916.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211005020025011379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+40Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
76Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
8L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
113Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#13
61.71.8
60.558.7
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
red by 7.3
5817
#19
54.52.2
59.557.4
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
Second
114
#7
40.81.8
42.941.1
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 16.6
9400
#35
24.22.2
24.121.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
Third
8768
#29
27.71.8
28.826.9
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
red by 11.2
5499
#32
16.52.2
19.117.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed