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Red163
570027.9
107257.1
594079.2
Blue176
84669.7
801642.0
947036.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186147050100200250300163176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +8
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points70
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#6
12Processor points24
28Net points24
40Algae points48
110Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#12
7L3#8
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#37
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
163Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.3
78.077.7
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 9.6
846
#6
69.72.0
69.771.6
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Second
1072
#12
57.10.3
53.252.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
red by 15.1
42.02.0
35.837.8
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
Third
5700
#38
27.90.3
27.527.2
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End0.1
blue by 8.1
9470
#10
36.02.0
32.634.6
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned