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Red158
415945.9
605921.9
469844.8
Blue116
325642.8
196735.1
681427.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311202004006008001,000158116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave9
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points3
54Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#21
52Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
84Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#5
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
158Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#20
45.94.1
36.440.5
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
red by 3.1
3256
#27
42.80.9
39.940.8
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
44.84.1
36.040.2
Auto17.6
Teleop19.5
End7.8
red by 9.7
1967
#26
35.10.9
35.136.0
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Third
6059
#34
21.94.1
17.721.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 5.8
6814
#14
27.70.9
27.728.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed