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Red145
76634.3
940024.2
1127446.2
Blue194
661945.5
318924.5
84170.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100138050200250300145194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
16Coral scored#25
57Coral points89
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
18Processor points18
24Net points28
42Algae points46
99Total teleop135
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#7
3L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
145Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.23.0
42.745.7
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 24.3
841
#4
70.53.8
63.367.1
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
Second
766
#30
34.32.3
32.434.7
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
blue by 11.2
6619
#11
45.53.8
40.043.7
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
Third
9400
#35
24.22.3
21.924.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.3
End0.7
blue by 0.3
3189
#24
24.53.8
20.123.8
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned