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Red168
11440.8
304569.7
581754.5
Blue98
264337.4
325730.1
359834.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2019105015025030016898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
85Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
32Foul points2
168Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.72.4
73.771.3
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 32.3
2643
#15
37.40.1
36.236.3
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6
Second
5817
#19
54.52.4
57.455.0
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
red by 20.5
3598
#17
34.00.1
31.031.1
Auto11.4
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
114
#7
40.82.4
41.138.7
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
red by 10.7
3257
#36
30.10.1
27.928.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned