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Red150
801642.0
545826.1
415945.9
Blue101
76634.3
167146.7
196735.1
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061330200300400150101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
96Total teleop83
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#5
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
150Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#20
45.93.0
40.543.6
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
blue by 0.8
1671
#16
46.71.3
46.845.6
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Second
42.03.0
37.840.9
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
red by 6.8
1967
#26
35.11.3
36.034.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
Third
5458
#33
26.13.0
23.126.1
Auto6.7
Teleop16.4
End3.0
blue by 8.2
766
#30
34.31.3
34.733.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed