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Red172
167891.3
196735.1
594079.2
Blue173
325642.8
661945.5
415945.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245126050100150200300350172173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
25Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +5
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points74
4Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
24Processor points30
28Net points24
52Algae points54
123Total teleop128
Reef
11L4#7
5L3#11
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points4
172Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.8
91.290.4
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
red by 45.4
4159
#20
45.90.9
43.644.4
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
Second
79.20.8
78.878.0
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 33.7
6619
#11
45.50.9
43.244.1
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
Third
1967
#26
35.10.8
34.733.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
blue by 7.6
3256
#27
42.80.9
40.541.3
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8