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Red160
681427.7
84669.7
304569.7
Blue154
801642.0
264337.4
167146.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187128050100150250300350160154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
34Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +32
23Coral scored#27
84Coral points96
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
110Total teleop142
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#10
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
160Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.2
70.370.1
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
red by 23.0
1671
#16
46.70.7
46.046.7
Auto12.0
Teleop31.7
End2.9
Second
846
#6
69.70.2
70.370.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
red by 27.7
42.00.7
41.342.0
Auto7.6
Teleop30.8
End3.6
Third
6814
#14
27.70.2
28.428.2
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0
blue by 9.6
2643
#15
37.40.7
36.737.4
Auto3.2
Teleop32.6
End1.6