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Red247
196735.1
167891.3
594079.2
Blue183
325730.1
213561.7
11440.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240129050100150200300350400247183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+44Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +18
26Coral scored#32
92Coral points114
4Processor algae#2
10Net algae#3
24Processor points12
40Net points12
64Algae points24
156Total teleop138
Reef
16L4#12
6L3#13
8L2#10
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +64
26Foul points6
247Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.4
90.490.9
Auto20.6
Teleop60.9
End9.8
red by 29.6
2135
#13
61.71.1
60.761.7
Auto18.2
Teleop42.0
End1.5
Second
79.20.4
78.078.4
Auto18.4
Teleop51.3
End9.5
red by 38.5
114
#7
40.81.1
39.740.8
Auto13.1
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Third
1967
#26
35.10.4
33.934.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End-0.1
red by 5.1
3257
#36
30.11.1
29.030.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.4
End1.7