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Red124
1127446.2
581754.5
947036.0
Blue143
107257.1
25327.5
84170.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146160050100200250300350124143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave3
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points45
13Total auto48
TeleoperatedRed +24
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
93Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#9
9L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +19
12Foul points10
124Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5817
#19
54.50.5
55.054.5
Auto6.9
Teleop47.2
End0.4
blue by 16.0
841
#4
70.50.3
67.967.6
Auto16.3
Teleop42.6
End11.6
Second
46.20.7
45.845.1
Auto12.0
Teleop29.3
End4.8
blue by 10.9
1072
#12
57.10.3
54.554.2
Auto16.0
Teleop32.1
End8.9
Third
9470
#10
36.00.5
35.635.1
Auto10.8
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 8.4
253
#25
27.50.3
25.024.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.0