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Red174
325642.8
661945.5
415945.9
Blue158
681427.7
84669.7
304569.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130186050100150250300350174158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+28Teleop
+14Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#23
79Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
12Processor points12
36Net points12
48Algae points24
127Total teleop105
Reef
14L4#11
5L3#6
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points0
174Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4159
#20
45.90.7
44.645.3
Auto13.0
Teleop30.8
End2.1
blue by 23.8
69.70.4
70.169.7
Auto18.7
Teleop40.5
End10.5
Second
6619
#11
45.50.7
44.244.9
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End4.6
blue by 24.1
846
#6
69.70.4
70.169.7
Auto15.3
Teleop45.7
End8.7
Third
3256
#27
42.80.7
41.442.2
Auto8.7
Teleop29.3
End4.8
red by 15.0
6814
#14
27.70.4
28.227.7
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End1.0