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Red180
84669.1
304572.2
476526.5
Blue207
107260.1
264328.7
84167.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183162100120140200220240260180207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points84
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#6
12Processor points30
8Net points24
20Algae points54
115Total teleop138
Reef
11L4#9
13L3#10
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
180Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.20.3
72.072.2
Auto19.0
Teleop42.3
End11.0
red by 4.8
841
#4
67.41.1
66.467.4
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
Second
846
#11
69.10.3
68.869.1
Auto15.8
Teleop46.9
End6.3
red by 8.9
60.11.1
59.160.1
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
Third
4765
#35
26.50.3
26.226.5
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 2.2
2643
#27
28.71.1
27.628.7
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9