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Red101
325653.9
67045.7
170015.0
Blue122
107260.1
641853.7
85225.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141159050100200250300101122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+41
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
14Coral points47
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
54Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#11
3L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
101Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
53.92.2
59.557.3
Auto12.9
Teleop32.9
End8.1
blue by 6.2
60.11.6
63.662.0
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
Second
670
#8
45.72.2
48.145.9
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
blue by 7.9
53.71.6
50.148.5
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
Third
1700
#38
15.02.2
26.824.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
blue by 10.6
852
#20
25.61.6
33.031.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed