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Red110
84041.1
64922.6
490425.6
Blue70
499018.8
418616.8
666538.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299805015020011070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +48
21Coral scored#10
74Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
98Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points2
110Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#3
41.11.3
43.742.4
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
red by 2.8
6665
#12
38.32.6
36.133.5
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
Second
4904
#19
25.61.3
27.626.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
red by 6.8
4990
#31
18.82.6
27.524.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
Third
649
#36
22.61.3
40.839.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 5.9
4186
#28
16.82.6
26.123.4
Auto2.6
Teleop12.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed