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Red93
603650.8
696243.1
543013.6
Blue59
476526.5
499018.8
85225.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131910501502009359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+34Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
65Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points8
93Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.9
56.554.6
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
red by 24.3
4765
#35
26.52.8
31.328.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End1.1
Second
6962
#24
43.11.9
37.835.9
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
red by 17.5
852
#20
25.62.8
31.328.5
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
Third
5430
#34
13.61.9
16.214.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
blue by 5.2
4990
#31
18.82.8
24.922.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed