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Red23
6418B32.4
185412.3
Blue105
603650.8
490425.6
11537.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413505010015020023105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+82
Endgame+84
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +72
1Coral scored#16
4Coral points58
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
8Total teleop80
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#7
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
2Foul points0
23Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.7
24.222.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.8
End2.7
blue by 18.4
50.80.4
54.654.3
Auto12.5
Teleop35.2
End3.2
Second
1854
#33
12.31.7
10.68.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 25.1
115
#14
37.40.4
33.433.1
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
Third
4.41.7
1.7-0.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 21.2
4904
#19
25.60.4
22.321.9
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed