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Red85
76644.3
499018.8
186832.5
Blue132
196737.2
84167.4
510426.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10314905020025085132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
59Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points18
85Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#9
44.30.9
44.443.6
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
blue by 23.1
841
#4
67.41.5
55.554.0
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
Second
1868
#18
32.50.9
33.032.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
blue by 4.7
1967
#16
37.21.5
37.235.7
Auto11.3
Teleop24.9
End1.0
Third
4990
#31
18.80.9
20.519.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
blue by 7.5
5104
#25
26.31.5
35.333.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned