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Red75
543013.6
641853.7
688415.8
Blue93
839.6
85225.6
185412.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917302040601001201407593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +29
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
34Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
75Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.3
48.848.5
Auto19.3
Teleop28.0
End6.4
red by 14.0
8
#21
39.61.7
31.032.7
Auto13.2
Teleop23.4
End3.1
Second
6884
#39
15.80.3
15.114.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End1.2
blue by 9.8
852
#20
25.61.7
27.529.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.0
Third
5430
#34
13.60.3
15.114.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 1.2
1854
#33
12.32.8
8.911.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed