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Red72
64922.6
499018.8
11537.4
Blue107
170015.0
107260.1
75125.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412205015020072107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
46Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
72Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#14
37.41.4
33.131.7
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End2.9
blue by 22.7
60.10.2
60.060.2
Auto18.1
Teleop33.5
End8.4
Second
649
#36
22.61.4
34.132.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 3.3
751
#22
25.90.2
25.625.8
Auto7.4
Teleop16.0
End2.5
Third
4990
#31
18.81.4
19.618.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.5
End0.6
red by 3.8
1700
#38
15.00.2
18.818.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned