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Red105
186832.5
696243.1
469825.7
Blue119
67045.7
76644.3
84041.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814250200105119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points18
33Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
54Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
4Foul points6
105Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#24
43.10.3
36.235.8
Auto12.2
Teleop31.8
End-0.8
blue by 2.6
670
#8
45.70.9
42.441.5
Auto10.5
Teleop28.3
End6.9
Second
1868
#18
32.50.3
32.231.8
Auto8.0
Teleop17.7
End6.7
blue by 11.8
766
#9
44.30.9
43.642.6
Auto5.9
Teleop32.3
End6.1
Third
4698
#29
25.70.3
37.537.1
Auto11.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
blue by 15.4
840
#3
41.10.9
41.240.3
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned