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Red83
415940.8
264328.7
Blue171
135143.1
84167.4
666538.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60156010020083171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+64
Endgame+90
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +54
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points63
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
6Processor points24
16Net points32
22Algae points56
65Total teleop119
Reef
6L4#10
2L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
2Foul points0
83Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.9
37.037.8
Auto14.6
Teleop24.5
End1.8
blue by 26.6
841
#4
67.42.6
54.056.6
Auto14.9
Teleop42.5
End10.0
Second
2643
#27
28.70.9
22.523.4
Auto3.4
Teleop24.4
End0.9
blue by 14.4
1351
#15
43.12.6
41.544.1
Auto6.7
Teleop35.1
End1.3
Third
4.41.4
-0.01.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End-0.6
blue by 33.9
6665
#12
38.32.6
28.531.1
Auto6.2
Teleop23.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned